Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.649807 4.323432 5.050883 5.890734 6.829423 7.842173 9.013240
2025-12-07 2.646496 3.528676 4.561217 5.841951 7.370386 9.118748 11.251917
2025-12-14 1.834207 2.766418 3.949827 5.521986 7.513897 9.912144 12.973868
2025-12-21 1.293209 2.213987 3.481164 5.277342 7.679540 10.703672 14.714940
2025-12-28 1.058424 2.021086 3.438217 5.553454 8.502279 12.339901 17.573538
2026-01-04 0.905356 1.911516 3.484619 5.939382 9.482196 14.219292 20.824615
2026-01-11 0.770756 1.797760 3.499466 6.267128 10.389034 16.034507 24.060694
2026-01-18 0.613422 1.603086 3.351936 6.325055 10.900341 17.322573 26.633132
2026-01-25 0.455681 1.361007 3.082022 6.152704 11.045263 18.090487 28.510494
2026-02-01 0.339744 1.166340 2.857130 6.017721 11.220234 18.889529 30.439548
2026-02-08 0.251848 1.002309 2.656352 5.892567 11.387569 19.667716 32.347525
2026-02-15 0.188790 0.874356 2.500398 5.822075 11.625967 20.547096 34.413911
2026-02-22 0.161594 0.839701 2.536605 6.110438 12.479974 22.404340 37.987047
2026-03-01 0.122522 0.748722 2.433595 6.126971 12.879571 23.583605 40.605191
2026-03-08 0.078451 0.608541 2.185842 5.832626 12.724353 23.891745 41.936768
2026-03-15 0.049457 0.499300 1.983468 5.598660 12.649202 24.311000 43.435325
2026-03-22 0.042230 0.488369 2.036073 5.899496 13.544074 26.306907 47.376469
2026-03-29 0.038483 0.494444 2.136698 6.310454 14.656322 28.683909 51.952073
2026-04-05 0.033643 0.490008 2.206257 6.657638 15.664023 30.915448 56.347730
2026-04-12 0.024583 0.446318 2.150875 6.720850 16.143774 32.291943 59.446127
2026-04-19 0.014811 0.376959 1.997305 6.542070 16.152775 32.883848 61.328430
2026-04-26 0.008626 0.320748 1.867944 6.401665 16.221438 33.569880 63.365524
2026-05-03 0.004703 0.272685 1.749756 6.271132 16.295864 34.259374 65.412760